EXCLUSIVE: Coronavirus Study Confirms, with Exception of New York and New Jersey, Overall Mortality Not Much Different Than a Bad Flu Season

On March 17, 2020, we were the first to identify that the WHO and the WHO’s Director General Tedros were pushing fraudulent numbers regarding the expected mortality of the coronavirus. The WHO over-stated the mortality rate of the virus by at least 30 times.

We then followed up with multiple posts on the subject. We reported on June 7, 2020, a study showed that when looking at the mortality rates for all causes this flu season, things aren’t much worse than a bad flu. 

We followed up on this study on June 18th with more current data supporting these results.

Today we have more information based on more current data that supports our initial observations – that current mortality rates from the China coronavirus are within expectations for an above-average flu season with the exception of NYC.

 Dr. Richard Cross, PhD, provided us the following information related to the China coronavirus. We have updated the following as of June 6, 2020, through week 36:

 The Week 36 P-Score (0.041) for the US is could be leveling off, showing an above average flu-level mortality for the year of about 4%. – -Excess deaths have climbed by from 67.9k to 84.5k for the nation through 36 weeks. This updated level remains below the estimated 114.5k COVID-19 mortality on Worldometers (on June 06).

 This study is brilliant because it takes out the CDC’s confusing directive that stated that all deaths should be counted as coronavirus deaths, even if the cause may have been another condition. By counting all deaths, no matter the cause, we can clearly see the impact of the coronavirus on the nation is ‘not much worse than a bad seasonal flu’.

The study previously reported on the New York situation:

The relative impact on total mortality of the COVID-19 event in the New York City region was in a class by itself. Figure 2 shows the increased cumulative total mortality increase as measured by the P-Score compared to previous 6-year mortality trends for each state; this is a more sensitive indicator of mortality change for each state since each state’s current mortality is based upon the previous six years mortality trend for that state. In Figure 2, New York City (NYC) mortality excess is 68% and is the highest across all locales with the current data. By week 34 in the current season, NYC is so far outside the mortality space of the other regions that it inhabited a different mortality universe altogether. It was widely reported as well that New Jersey experienced a high level of COVID-19 deaths, which translated into a seasonal excess mortality of 28 percent greater than its own expected increase, but yet this is still far below NYC.

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