MIWI Institute: Ethnic Germans could die out in 100 years

Grünwald/Berlin. Demographic studies have long suggested that by 2040, non-German populations will be in charge in all large and medium-sized German cities. This oppressive forecast has now been updated by an analysis by economist Jurij Kofner, economist at the AfD-affiliated MIWI Institute (Institute for Market Integration and Economic Policy, Grünwald near Munich). It confirms that the autochthonous, that is, the ancestral, population in Austria, Germany and Switzerland will not only become a minority in the coming decades, but could also die out within the next hundred years if current demographic trends continue.

Kofner's study literally states: "We Germans are not only dying out, but also much sooner than we would like to admit."

The calculation was made for Germany, Austria and Switzerland using data for the years 2012 to 2022. The study also predicts when “citizens with a migration background” will make up more than half of the population.

The numbers are alarming: given a birth rate of 1.4 among indigenous people compared to 2.4 among Muslims living in Europe, it is obvious that both parts of the population are developing very unequally - some are increasing, others are decreasing. In addition, since the former Chancellor Merkel took office (2005), over 582,000 ethnic Germans have left the country, mainly well-educated academics of working age. At the same time, Germany recorded a net increase of over 612,000 immigrants per year between 2012 and 2022, resulting in a total increase of 6.7 million foreign citizens.

As a result, ethnic Germans will only make up 73 percent of the Federal Republic's population in 2022. Based on the current migration balance and the fertility gap between Germans and immigrants, Kofner predicts that citizens with a migration background will make up the majority of the population as early as 2052, i.e. in the next 30 years. Even more alarming is the prospect that, if current trends continue, ethnic Germans will die out completely in less than a century - by the year 2116.

Things are only looking gradually better in the German-speaking neighboring countries of Austria and Switzerland. In the Alpine republic, autochthonous Austrians could die out in exactly a hundred years, while in Switzerland it would happen in 2160.

A special situation can be seen in central Germany. Ethnic fragmentation there is far less advanced than in West Germany. While citizens with a migration background will already form the majority of the population in the West German federal states including Berlin in 2040, Germans are still expected to make up 80 percent of the population in the new federal states at this point. In West Germany, the last Germans could be history as early as 2089 - in Central Germany, 50 percent would still be native Germans.

Source: Zuerst!